Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.071301 0.083591 0.097314 0.113767 0.132954 0.154619 0.180941
2026-01-04 0.055323 0.071256 0.090728 0.116255 0.148828 0.188998 0.242316
2026-01-11 0.043862 0.061420 0.084666 0.117650 0.163223 0.223958 0.311086
2026-01-18 0.034963 0.052834 0.078282 0.117084 0.174698 0.257059 0.383792
2026-01-25 0.027442 0.044485 0.070437 0.112708 0.179756 0.281948 0.449596
2026-02-01 0.021645 0.037446 0.063044 0.107362 0.182068 0.302846 0.512992
2026-02-08 0.017799 0.032706 0.058282 0.105131 0.188665 0.331250 0.593133
2026-02-15 0.014684 0.028549 0.053650 0.102116 0.193178 0.356671 0.672455
2026-02-22 0.012728 0.026086 0.051508 0.103061 0.204755 0.396099 0.783320
2026-03-01 0.010939 0.023567 0.048765 0.102292 0.212843 0.430249 0.889974
2026-03-08 0.009190 0.020767 0.044939 0.098610 0.214422 0.451959 0.975678
2026-03-15 0.008005 0.018928 0.042728 0.097833 0.221755 0.486199 1.092627
2026-03-22 0.007222 0.017901 0.042229 0.101065 0.239176 0.546262 1.279777
2026-03-29 0.006569 0.017047 0.041976 0.104872 0.258799 0.614969 1.500005
2026-04-05 0.005904 0.016026 0.041147 0.107197 0.275531 0.680415 1.725825
2026-04-12 0.005217 0.014796 0.039568 0.107376 0.287150 0.736138 1.939427
2026-04-19 0.004459 0.013202 0.036748 0.103797 0.288570 0.767375 2.098200
2026-04-26 0.003777 0.011663 0.033758 0.099142 0.286246 0.788782 2.235916
2026-05-03 0.003301 0.010615 0.031899 0.097254 0.291156 0.830127 2.435673
2026-05-10 0.002868 0.009594 0.029908 0.094573 0.293296 0.864420 2.622734
2026-05-17 0.002601 0.009038 0.029176 0.095523 0.306365 0.931878 2.918923
2026-05-24 0.002324 0.008381 0.028000 0.094856 0.314414 0.986373 3.187440
2026-05-31 0.002018 0.007551 0.026102 0.091468 0.313231 1.013143 3.376315